{"id":87608,"date":"2025-08-14T10:33:05","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T08:33:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/congopubonline.com\/?p=87608"},"modified":"2025-08-14T10:39:41","modified_gmt":"2025-08-14T08:39:41","slug":"le-deficit-budgetaire-americain-se-creuse-dangereusement-malgre-les-recettes-record-des-droits-de-douane","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/congopubonline.com\/?p=87608","title":{"rendered":"Le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricain se creuse dangereusement malgr\u00e9 les recettes record des droits de douane"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Les tarifs douaniers am\u00e9ricains ont rapport\u00e9 28\u00a0milliards de dollars sur le seul mois de juillet, soit une hausse de 273\u00a0%. Ces recettes restent toutefois insuffisantes pour compenser les d\u00e9penses, alors que le co\u00fbt de la dette s’envole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Donald Trump a beau vanter les milliards de dollars qui affluent dans les caisses am\u00e9ricaines gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 ses tarifs douaniers, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricain continue de se creuser. En juillet, il a atteint 291 milliards de dollars, selon les donn\u00e9es du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain publi\u00e9es mardi, soit 10 % de plus qu’au m\u00eame mois de l’ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, en tenant compte des diff\u00e9rences de calendrier avec moins de jours ouvrables cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alors que l’inflation am\u00e9ricaine a confirm\u00e9 son rebond<\/a> mardi, sans toutefois acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer, les Etats-Unis se dirigent vers un nouveau d\u00e9ficit abyssal \u00e0 la fin de l’ann\u00e9e fiscale am\u00e9ricaine, fin septembre. Les r\u00e9sultats budg\u00e9taires cumul\u00e9s depuis le d\u00e9but de l’ann\u00e9e fiscale (sur dix mois) montrent un d\u00e9ficit de 1.629 milliards de dollars, en hausse de 7 %, soit 112 milliards de dollars, par rapport \u00e0 la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode de l’ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente. L’ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re, le d\u00e9ficit final avait d\u00e9pass\u00e9 1.800 milliards, soit 6 % du PIB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La politique tarifaire et les\u00a0coupes budg\u00e9taires de l’administration Trump\u00a0ne parviennent pas, pour l’instant, \u00e0 redresser la barre. La dette nationale brute atteint d\u00e9sormais le chiffre vertigineux de 37.000\u00a0milliards de dollars, soit plus de 100.000\u00a0dollars par habitant. Face \u00e0 la d\u00e9gradation continue du d\u00e9ficit, l’agence am\u00e9ricaine de notation\u00a0Moody’s avait abaiss\u00e9 la note de cr\u00e9dit \u00e0 Aa1,<\/a>\u00a0en mai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

300 milliards de dollars de droits de douane esp\u00e9r\u00e9s<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Pourtant, les recettes douani\u00e8res am\u00e9ricaines ont atteint un nouveau record mensuel en juillet\u00a0: 28\u00a0milliards de dollars, soit une hausse de 273\u00a0% par rapport \u00e0 juillet\u00a02024, selon le Tr\u00e9sor.\u00a0En juin, l’augmentation des taxes douani\u00e8res avait d\u00e9j\u00e0 permis au gouvernement d’enregistrer un rare exc\u00e9dent mensuel de 27\u00a0milliards de dollars, le premier mois de juin positif depuis\u00a02015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Depuis le d\u00e9but de l’exercice, les droits de douane ont rapport\u00e9 142 milliards de dollars \u00e0 l’administration am\u00e9ricaine. Le secr\u00e9taire au Tr\u00e9sor Scott Bessent esp\u00e8re r\u00e9colter au total en 2025 environ 300 milliards de dollars. \u00ab Il est possible que ce chiffre soit plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 \u00bb en 2026, a-t-il m\u00eame d\u00e9clar\u00e9 sur MSNBC le 7 ao\u00fbt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cette situation paradoxale s’explique par des d\u00e9penses qui augmentent plus vite que les recettes. Elles ont en effet bondi de 10 % en juillet, pour atteindre 630 milliards de dollars, un record pour le mois. Les recettes cumul\u00e9es depuis le d\u00e9but de l’ann\u00e9e ont progress\u00e9 de 6 %, soit 262 milliards de dollars, pour atteindre 4.347 milliards de dollars, un record sur 10 mois, tandis que les d\u00e9penses ont progress\u00e9 de 7 %, soit 374 milliards de dollars, pour atteindre 5.975 milliards de dollars, un autre record sur 10 mois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Co\u00fbt de la dette : 1.010 milliards en dix mois !<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

La hausse des d\u00e9penses a notamment \u00e9t\u00e9 aliment\u00e9e par l’augmentation des\u00a0int\u00e9r\u00eats sur la dette publique,\u00a0qui ont atteint 1.010\u00a0milliards de dollars sur les dix premiers mois de l’ann\u00e9e fiscale. Les co\u00fbts de la S\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale et des programmes de sant\u00e9, Medicare pour les personnes \u00e2g\u00e9es et Medicaid pour les plus d\u00e9favoris\u00e9s, qui ne cessent de cro\u00eetre, y participent \u00e9galement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En juin, l’agence f\u00e9d\u00e9rale du Congressional Budget Office estimait pourtant que le vaste plan de taxes douani\u00e8res r\u00e9duirait le d\u00e9ficit de 2.800\u00a0milliards de dollars sur dix ans. D’autres\u00a0\u00e9conomistes, comme Kent Smetters de l’universit\u00e9 de Pennsylvanie, affirment, eux, que les tarifs douaniers ne devraient entra\u00eener \u00ab\u00a0que de modestes r\u00e9ductions de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La politique tarifaire agressive de Donald Trump n’est pas sans cons\u00e9quence pour les Am\u00e9ricains. Les entreprises importatrices r\u00e9percutent certains co\u00fbts sur les consommateurs. Les donn\u00e9es de l’indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation publi\u00e9es mardi montrent en effet une augmentation des prix de certains biens sensibles aux tarifs douaniers comme les meubles, les chaussures et les pi\u00e8ces automobiles. Au risque de peser sur la croissance, et donc les recettes fiscales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Par ailleurs, il reste difficile de pr\u00e9voir l’impact des recettes des tarifs douaniers sur la dette tant les r\u00e8gles du jeu impos\u00e9es par l’administration Trump peuvent rapidement et radicalement \u00e9voluer en fonction des sautes d’humeur du pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain et des accords nou\u00e9s avec les partenaires commerciaux des Am\u00e9ricains. Mais si les droits de douane ne parviennent pas \u00e0 tenir la promesse de Trump d’am\u00e9liorer le bilan du gouvernement, les Am\u00e9ricains pourraient se retrouver confront\u00e9s \u00e0 une\u00a0diminution des opportunit\u00e9s d’emploi,\u00a0\u00e0 des pressions inflationnistes et \u00e0 une hausse des taux d’int\u00e9r\u00eat sur les pr\u00eats. Un sc\u00e9nario noir que le pr\u00e9sident refuse d’imaginer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Julien Boitel<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n

<\/span> 286<\/span> Vues<\/span><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les tarifs douaniers am\u00e9ricains ont rapport\u00e9 28\u00a0milliards de dollars sur le seul mois de juillet, soit une hausse de 273\u00a0%. Ces recettes restent toutefois insuffisantes pour compenser les d\u00e9penses, alors…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":87610,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[844,54],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-87608","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-monde"],"yoast_head":"\nLe d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricain se creuse dangereusement malgr\u00e9 les recettes record des droits de douane - Congo Pub Online<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricain se creuse dangereusement malgr\u00e9 les recettes record des droits de douane\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/congopubonline.com\/?p=87608\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricain se creuse dangereusement malgr\u00e9 les recettes record des droits de douane\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricain se creuse dangereusement malgr\u00e9 les recettes record des droits de douane\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/congopubonline.com\/?p=87608\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Congo Pub Online\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/web.facebook.com\/Congopubonline\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-08-14T08:33:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-08-14T08:39:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/congopubonline.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/deficit_usa.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"736\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"467\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin9775\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@CONGOPUBOnline\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@CONGOPUBOnline\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin9775\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/congopubonline.com\\\/?p=87608#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/congopubonline.com\\\/?p=87608\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin9775\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/congopubonline.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d2f3a940be2e9c1a0e4f8831e203f3cc\"},\"headline\":\"Le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricain se creuse dangereusement malgr\u00e9 les recettes record des droits de douane\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-14T08:33:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-08-14T08:39:41+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/congopubonline.com\\\/?p=87608\"},\"wordCount\":900,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/congopubonline.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/congopubonline.com\\\/?p=87608#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/congopubonline.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/deficit_usa.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"\u00c0 la Une\",\"Monde\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/congopubonline.com\\\/?p=87608\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/congopubonline.com\\\/?p=87608\",\"name\":\"Le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricain se creuse dangereusement malgr\u00e9 les recettes record des droits de douane - 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